[1]李成海,杨洪海,胡甚平.东营港航道船舶航行风险评估[J].青岛远洋船员职业学院学报,2023,44(4):1-6.
　LI Chenghai,YANG Honghai,HU Shenping.Navigation Risk Assessment of Ships in Dongying Port Channel[J].Journal of Qingdao Ocean Shipping Mariners College,2023,44(4):1-6.
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东营港航道船舶航行风险评估()
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《青岛远洋船员职业学院学报》[ISSN:2095-3747/CN:37-1489/U]

卷:
44
期数:
2023年4期
页码:
1-6
栏目:
航海技术
出版日期:
2023-12-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
Navigation Risk Assessment of Ships in Dongying Port Channel
文章编号:
2095-3747（2023）-04-0001-06
作者:
李成海1; 杨洪海2; 胡甚平3
1.山东交通职业学院，山东 潍坊261206;2.东营引航站，山东 东营257100;3.上海海事大学，上海201306
Author(s):
LI Cheng—hai1; YANG Hong—hai2; HU Shen—ping3
1.Shandong Vocational College of Communications, Weifang261206, China;2.Dongying Pilot Station， Dongying257100,China;3.Shanghai Maritime Univ,Shanghai201306,China
关键词:
船舶; 航道航行; 物元分析法模型; 系统仿真; 动态风险评估
Keywords:
ship;  waterway navigation;  matter element analysis model ' system simulation;  dynamic risk assessment
分类号:
U675A
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
以船舶自锚地到泊位航行状态为研究对象，基于物元分析法模型，对船舶东营港航道航行过程整体动态风险进行评估，根据信息数据确定的指标权重值，得到船舶航道内航行动态风险评估仿真图，从而为港航管理部门和船公司的安全管理提供理论依据。实船验证结果表明：东营港航道船舶航行过程风险呈现“V”型变化规律，5号浮至9号浮附近风险最大；船舶交通流是影响船舶航行风险的首要因素。
Abstract:
Taking the navigation state of a ship from Anchorage to berth as the research object, the overall dynamic risk of the navigation process of the ship channel is evaluated based on the matter element analysis model, and the index weight value determined by the information data is used to obtain the simulation chart of the dynamic risk assessment of navigation in the ship channel, so as to provide a theoretical basis for the safety management of port and shipping management departments and shipping companies. The actual ship verification results show that the risk of ship navigation in Dongying Port shows a "V" shape, and the risk is the highest near float No. 5 to No. 9, and the ship traffic flow is the primary factor affecting the risk of ship navigation. Based on the matter element analysis model, there can be a scientific and reasonable assessment of the dynamic risk of ship navigation.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2023-01-05
第一作者简介：李成海（1965－）, 男,高级船长, 副教授
更新日期/Last Update: 2023-12-15