[1]秦宏雷,吴志军.基于PCA的海上交通社会生命风险可接受水平研究[J].青岛远洋船员职业学院学报,2021,42(1):1-6，23.
　QIN Honglei,WU Zhijun.Research on Maritime Social Life Risk Acceptable Level Based on the PCA[J].Journal of Qingdao Ocean Shipping Mariners College,2021,42(1):1-6，23.
点击复制

基于PCA的海上交通社会生命风险可接受水平研究()
分享到：

《青岛远洋船员职业学院学报》[ISSN:2095-3747/CN:37-1489/U]

卷:
42
期数:
2021年1期
页码:
1-6，23
栏目:
海事法律管理与公约
出版日期:
2021-03-10

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on Maritime Social Life Risk Acceptable Level Based on the PCA
文章编号:
2095-3747（2021）-01-0001-06
作者:
秦宏雷1; 吴志军2
1.深圳引航站，广东 深圳 581000;2.远景能源有限公司，江苏 江阴214400
Author(s):
QIN Hong—lei1; WU Zhi—jun2
1.Shenzhen Pilot Station , Shenzhen581000, China;2.Envision Energy, Jiangyin 214400, China
关键词:
主成分分析; 风险可接受水平; 海上交通; F-N风险极限线
Keywords:
PCA;  the risk acceptable level;  maritime traffic;  F-N risk curve
分类号:
U692
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
近年来，随着人们风险意识的不断增强，风险管理认知的不断加深，各领域纷纷研究探讨各自的生命风险可接受水平，而海上生命风险可接受水平仍研究甚少。为充分考虑海上交通社会风险可接受水平各影响因素，本文对传统的F-N风险极限线模型进行了修正，以确定适用于海上交通社会风险可接受水平。本文首先运用层次分析法对风险可接受水平的影响因素进行筛选，得出主要影响因素；进而运用主成分分析法确定出各影响因素权重，以对初始C值进行修正，并结合我国法律法规对截止线进行修正，最终得出辽宁省水域海上交通社会生命风险可接受水平模型。
Abstract:
In recent years, as people to enhance awareness of risk and risk management, various fields have determined their respective life risk acceptable level, but risk acceptable level of life at sea is still little research. In order to consider various influencing factors of maritime traffic social acceptable risk level, this paper revised the literature F - N risk limit line model, determine traffic society acceptable risk level. This paper use the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to filter factors of risk acceptable level, and find the main influencing factors. Then using the principal component analysis (PCA) method to determine the weight of influencing factors, to modify the initial C value, and combined with China's laws and regulations to modify stop line. Finally, this paper build the LiaoNing province maritime traffic social life risk acceptable level model.

参考文献/References:

[1] 吴志军,郑中义,吴卫兵.海上交通F-N风险极限线模型研究[J].船海工程,2016,45 （6）:285-288.
[2] 梅亚东,谈广鸣.大坝防洪安全评价的风险标准[J].水电能源科学,2002,20（2）:35-40.
[3] Thompson. Societal risk assessment:How safe is safe enough?[M].NewYork.Plenum Pres.1980.
[4] DOUGHSM,WILDAVSKY.Risk and culture[M]. Berkeley California Press,CA.1982.
[5] 岑慧贤,房怀阳,吴群河.可接受风险的界定方法探讨[J].重庆环境科学,2000,22(3):18-19.
[6] Lind N.Social and economic criteria of acceptable risk[J].Reliability Engineering and System Safety,2002,78(1):21-25.
[7] AGS.Practice Note Guidelines for Landslide Risk Management 2007[J].Australian Geomechanics,2007,42(1):64-114.
[8] Health and Safety Executive ,Reducing risks,protecting people-Hse’s decision making process,ISBN 0-7176-2151-0,heep://www.he.gov. uk/dst/r2p2.pdf,2001.
[9] MSC-MEPC.2/Circ.12，REVISED GUIDELINES FOR FORMAL SAFETY ASSESSMENT(FSA) FOR USE IN THE IMO RULE-MAKING PROCESS[S].
[10] 王学民.应用多元分析[M].上海:财经大学出版社,2004.
[11] 高惠璇.应用多元统计分析[M].北京:北京大学出版社,2005.
[12] 杨威.危岩落石灾害危险性评价及防治决策方法研究[D].重庆:重庆交通大学,2011.
[13] 杨燕鹏,罗云,曾珠,等.压力管道社会风险可接受准则研究[J].中国安全科学学报,2014,24（9）:128-133.

相似文献/References:

[1]王星紫,丁明智.山东省轴辐式冷链物流网络构建研究——基于引力模型与隶属度模型[J].青岛远洋船员职业学院学报,2022,43(4):15.
　WANG Xingzi,DING Mingzhi.Research on Construction of Hub-and-spoke Cold Chain Logistics Network in Shandong Province-- Based on Gravity Model and Membership Model[J].Journal of Qingdao Ocean Shipping Mariners College,2022,43(1):15.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2021—01—18第一作者简介：秦宏雷，男，一级引水员
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-03-10